US News

article

Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.) is preparing to formally launch her bid for governor of New York, according to two individuals familiar with her plans.

Sources told The Hill that Stefanik’s campaign is not a question of if but when, and that she will announce her candidacy at a time and location of her choosing.

For months, speculation has mounted about whether Stefanik, a prominent ally of former President Trump, would pursue the state’s highest office.

Recent polling shows Stefanik in a strong position within a potential Republican primary. A survey by GrayHouse indicates that she leads Rep. Mike Lawler (R-N.Y.), who is mulling a run, by a wide margin—44 percent to 7 percent. Bruce Blakeman, the Nassau County Executive, registered 5 percent support. The poll carries a 5-point margin of error.

Last month, Trump endorsed both Lawler and Blakeman for reelection to their current posts, fueling speculation that he was clearing the field for Stefanik’s gubernatorial run.

Republicans say the political winds in New York may be shifting in their favor.

Despite New York’s reputation as a deep-blue state, the GOP has made gains in recent elections. Trump narrowed his deficit in the state last year, losing by just over 12 points—a 23-point improvement from 2020. In 2022, Governor Kathy Hochul won her race against former Rep. Lee Zeldin, who had been serving as EPA Administrator, by around 6 points.

Still, analysts caution that any Republican candidate will face serious challenges. The Cook Political Report currently rates the New York gubernatorial race as “likely Democratic.”